markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group A': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?': YES=95.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Dota 2: Enjoy vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Enjoy vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winner': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.10%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will paiN Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=51.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group B': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=21.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Atputies (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group B': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=82.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket