markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=23.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 31?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=96.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=84.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Carole Monnet': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Execration - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=98.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=17.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket