markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-31Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=98.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=24.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=5.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=73.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket