markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'FC Midtjylland vs. Beşiktaş JK: Team to Advance': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=63.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=94.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: TLN Pirates vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=99.90%
TLNmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=46.00%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=50.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=81.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-30Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket