markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez
Polymarket top market 'Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?': YES=95.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group D': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navone': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-03Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Shuai Zhang': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket