markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-04Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Jeju SK FC vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 4.5': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Denis Klok vs Laurence Teunissen': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 15?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs ex-GUARA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-04Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by August 15?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draper': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-04Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-04Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Polymarket top market 'Will GameStop acquire eBay?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-042026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=27.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=81.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket