markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?': YES=96.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket