markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=88.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 5?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=84.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Diego Dedura-Palomero': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-05LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group
Polymarket top market 'LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 5?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket