markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=10.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 12?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: EDward Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 12?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto
Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-12Astana: Fajing Sun vs Semen Pankin
Polymarket top market 'Astana: Fajing Sun vs Semen Pankin': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-12Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 12?': YES=98.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Sean Cuenin vs Timofei Derepasko': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket