markets

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=47.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.83%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=59.67%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?': YES=67.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=1.01%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Polymarket top market 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=21.60%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 11?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=81.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: RMD Gaming vs RED Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Play-In': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 12?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5': YES=99.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=62.00%

Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 11?': YES=3.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-12?': YES=67.00%

Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Henrique Rocha': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mackenzie McDonald vs Yibing Wu': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-11?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 11?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=96.70%

Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: magic vs TheMongolz (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-11?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 12?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto': YES=61.00%