markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win The International 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 13?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 13?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs M80 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Kasidit Samrej
Polymarket top market 'Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Kasidit Samrej': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 13?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Main Card)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andres Andrade': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=19.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket