markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=87.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?': YES=0.10%
OPENAImarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 18?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Club Tijuana vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket