markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=44.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=46.47%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?': YES=18.91%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=59.92%

Polymarket top market 'Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5': YES=42.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 17?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=79.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Caribbean Premier League: St. Lucia Kings vs Barbados Tridents': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=39.00%

Polymarket top market '2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will FaZe Clan Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: AEK (-2.5)': YES=6.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=17.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=87.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by August 31?': YES=2.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?': YES=0.90%