markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?': YES=0.10%
OPENAImarket:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will XRP reach $1.30 August 10-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will XRP reach $1.30 August 10-16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 17?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President before 2027?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-16?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'CF América vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-17Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 1.5': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=29.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-17Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-16?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket