markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?': YES=28.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=33.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?
Polymarket top market 'Ethereum Up or Down on August 22?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Solana reach $120 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Solana reach $120 in August?': YES=10.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?': YES=13.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=52.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=96.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=11.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=67.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarket