markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=19.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=35.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=38.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=62.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket