markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=68.45%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=41.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=41.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 22?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?': YES=45.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)': YES=99.20%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=33.60%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?': YES=74.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?': YES=2.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=9.10%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Caribbean Premier League: St. Lucia Kings vs Jamaica Kingsmen': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?': YES=67.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=32.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=95.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?': YES=5.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5': YES=66.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=76.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%