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Hit-rate by evidence source class. Live predictions are forward calls; backfill is historical replay for calibration only.
Small sample: fewer than 10 live signal-source contributions have directional outcomes. Treat percentages as calibration evidence, not proof of source quality.
| source class | n | hit | miss | push | hit-rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| web | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% |
Use backfill to spot weak source classes and scoring bias. Do not market this as proof of product quality.
| source class | n | hit | miss | push | hit-rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| web | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 50% |
| x | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 50% |