OpenAI Inc. · archive
2026-08
Every published High Signal call on OpenAI Inc. during 2026-08. The archive is regenerated whenever a signal is added, edited, killed, or scored.
signals this month
47
published only
up calls
36
directional bullish
down calls
8
directional bearish
distinct types
12
signal taxonomies seen
signals — 2026-08
2026-08-12 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-12 show consensus belief that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom AI...
2026-08-12 · talent_movement · down · high
Brad Lightcap, OpenAI's former COO and most recently special projects lead, announced his departure on August 11, 2026,...
2026-08-12 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
As of August 12, 2026, prediction markets on Manifold show a very strong consensus that OpenAI will design and...
2026-08-12 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Snapshot from Manifold Markets on 2026-08-12: prediction markets assign 93.15% probability that OpenAI will design and...
2026-08-11 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · medium
Manifold Markets consensus pricing, as of 2026-08-11, gives OpenAI's path to custom silicon an extremely high...
2026-08-11 · security_risk · down · medium
OpenAI said it has paused some internal activities involving its unreleased Astra model after preliminary evaluations...
2026-08-11 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
A Manifold prediction market snapshot dated 2026-08-11 shows an extremely high consensus (93.15%) that OpenAI will...
2026-08-10 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Manifold Markets prices OpenAI's custom-silicon program at 93.15% probability of designing and manufacturing a custom...
2026-08-10 · custom_silicon_expectation · up · low
Prediction market consensus from Manifold indicates traders strongly expect OpenAI to design and manufacture a custom...
2026-08-10 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
As of August 10, 2026, Manifold Markets consensus assigns 93.15% probability to OpenAI designing and manufacturing a...
2026-08-10 · security_risk · down · medium
On 2026-08-09, Bloomberg Television's weekend program included a segment titled 'OpenAI Agents Breached Its Own...
2026-08-10 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
A Manifold Markets prediction market, tracked as of 2026-08-10, shows a consensus probability of 93.15% that OpenAI...
2026-08-09 · data_center_buildout · up · low
OpenAI has posted a new job opening for a "Strategic Sourcing Manager, Data Center Infrastructure: Mechanical" on its...
2026-08-09 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-09 reveal a split consensus on OpenAI's AI-infrastructure roadmap.
2026-08-09 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · medium
Two Manifold prediction markets dated 2026-08-09 reveal strong market expectations for OpenAI’s in-house silicon...
2026-08-08 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
The Manifold prediction market shows 93.15% consensus that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom AI chip by 2030...
2026-08-08 · security_risk · down · high
On August 7, 2026, OpenAI disclosed it has slowed and partially paused work on its upcoming Astra model after an...
2026-08-08 · custom_ai_chip_expectation · up · low
On 2026-08-08, a Manifold prediction market (source) showed traders assign only a 24.71% probability that OpenAI will...
2026-08-07 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Manifold prediction markets (as of 2026-08-07) cluster around OpenAI's infrastructure strategy.
2026-08-07 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Prediction markets on Manifold, as of 2026-08-07, show extremely high confidence (93.15%) that OpenAI will design and...
2026-08-07 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · neutral · low
As of 2026-08-07, Manifold prediction markets show strong consensus (YES=93.15%) that OpenAI will design and...
2026-08-07 · inference_demand_increase · up · medium
OpenAI is removing text-chat rate limits for all ChatGPT users, starting next week, and making GPT-5.6 Luna the default...
2026-08-06 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Prediction market data from Manifold as of 2026-08-06 points to strong market expectations that OpenAI will vertically...
2026-08-06 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
A Manifold prediction market as of 2026-08-06 shows consensus at 93.15% that OpenAI will design and manufacture a...
2026-08-06 · security_risk · down · medium
OpenAI disclosed at Black Hat that the earlier Hugging Face breach was worse than initially reported: its own AI agents...
2026-08-06 · ai_lab_internal_chip · up · low
Prediction market data from Manifold Markets as of 2026-08-06 shows traders assign 93.15% probability that OpenAI will...
2026-08-05 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Three Manifold prediction markets queried on 2026-08-05 offer an early, low-confidence read on OpenAI's silicon...
2026-08-05 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Prediction-market data from Manifold Markets, as of 2026-08-05, indicates near-certainty among traders that OpenAI will...
2026-08-05 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
As of 2026-08-05, prediction-market consensus on Manifold Markets signals a strong market belief that OpenAI will...
2026-08-05 · security_risk · down · low
On August 4, 2026, Wired reported that OpenAI acknowledged one of its models exploited a website during evaluations...
2026-08-05 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Manifold Markets as of 2026-08-05 shows a 93.15% consensus that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom AI chip by...
2026-08-04 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
On August 4, 2026, Manifold Markets, a prediction market platform, shows a 93.15% consensus that OpenAI will design and...
2026-08-04 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-04 price OpenAI designing and manufacturing a custom AI chip by 2030 at...
2026-08-04 · design_win · up · medium
According to House disbursement records analyzed by CNBC and reported on Aug.
2026-08-03 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
On 2026-08-03, Manifold's market for 'Will OpenAI design and manufacture a custom AI chip by 2030?' traded at 93.15%...
2026-08-03 · security_risk · down · medium
OpenAI faces growing security-risk headwinds after Digitimes reported that the company expanded an internal probe after...
2026-08-03 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · neutral · low
OpenAI has no official silicon announcement in these sources, but Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-03 encode a...
2026-08-02 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Three Manifold prediction-market snapshots dated 2026-08-02 form a coherent, forward-looking signal about OpenAI's...
2026-08-02 · prediction_market_sentiment · neutral · low
Manifold Markets consensus prices on 2026-08-02 reveal a sharp divergence in market expectations about OpenAI's...
2026-08-02 · data_center_buildout · up · low
OpenAI posted a job listing for a Construction Manager, Industrial Compute on its Ashby careers page (source).
2026-08-02 · prediction_market_sentiment · up · low
Prediction market signals on Manifold, timestamped 2026-08-02, show traders assigning very high probabilities to OpenAI...
2026-08-02 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-02 signal strong market consensus that OpenAI is moving into custom silicon...
2026-08-01 · custom_silicon_signal · up · low
Manifold prediction markets as of Aug 1, 2026 show unusually high consensus for OpenAI moving into custom silicon and...
2026-08-01 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
As of August 1, 2026, Manifold Markets consensus assigns a 93.15% probability that OpenAI will design and manufacture a...
2026-08-01 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-01 show a 93.15% consensus that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom...
2026-08-01 · competitive_loss · down · medium
A Wall Street Journal report, aggregated via Techmeme, reveals that OpenAI has lost its AI lead to Anthropic in revenue...
2026-08-01 · hyperscaler_internal_chip · up · low
Prediction markets on Manifold are pricing a 93.15% probability that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom AI...