Apple Inc.
spillover graph 3
market consensus 10prediction-market quotes (latest)
- 77%Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?manifold$263
- 21%Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?manifold$15.4K
- 77%Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?manifold$263
- 21%Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?manifold$15.4K
- 77%Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?manifold$263
- 21%Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?manifold$15.4K
- 77%Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?manifold$263
- 21%Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?manifold$15.4K
- 77%Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?manifold$263
- 21%Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?manifold$15.4K
recent signals
A Manifold market gives 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A Manifold market gives 77.34% probability that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Manifold prediction-market consensus prices a 77.3% probability that Apple will release a dedicated AI chip for iPhones...
Manifold prediction-market consensus prices a 77.3% probability that Apple will release a dedicated AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (market).
A Manifold market puts a 77.34% probability on Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A Manifold market puts a 77.34% probability on Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Manifold's prediction market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' has reached 77.34% YES, indicating...
Manifold's prediction market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' has reached 77.34% YES, indicating strong market conviction that Apple will introduce a dedicated on-device AI chip this year.
Manifold's market page gives a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Manifold's market page gives a 77.34% consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Apple's latest 10-Q (revenue $313.7B, net income $84.5B) shows continued financial strength, but the AI focus comes...
Apple's latest 10-Q (revenue $313.7B, net income $84.5B) shows continued financial strength, but the AI focus comes from two signals: a prediction market and code discovery.
Manifold consensus gives 77.34% probability to Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
Manifold consensus gives 77.34% probability to Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
A Manifold market indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple releases an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A Manifold market indicates a 77.34% probability that Apple releases an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Manifold prediction-market consensus gives 77.34% YES to 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' This is a...
Manifold prediction-market consensus gives 77.34% YES to 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' This is a strong but unconfirmed market expectation of an Apple-designed AI accelerator/Neural Engine upgrade for the iPhone product line.
Manifold market consensus puts 77.34% probability on Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Manifold market consensus puts 77.34% probability on Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A Manifold market is pricing a 77.34% probability that Apple releases an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
A Manifold market is pricing a 77.34% probability that Apple releases an AI chip for iPhones in 2026 (source).
Manifold's market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' is at 77.34% YES, indicating the crowd expects...
Manifold's market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' is at 77.34% YES, indicating the crowd expects Apple to ship a phone-specific AI chip this year.
Code in iOS 27 beta 5 suggests Apple is preparing a mainland China-specific version of Apple Intelligence, with...
Code in iOS 27 beta 5 suggests Apple is preparing a mainland China-specific version of Apple Intelligence, with on-device processing and a local security mechanism, according to TechNode.
Manifold prediction market consensus shows a 77.34% probability that Apple releases an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
Manifold prediction market consensus shows a 77.34% probability that Apple releases an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A Manifold market assigns 77.3% probability to Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
A Manifold market assigns 77.3% probability to Apple releasing an AI chip for iPhones in 2026.
The Manifold market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' contracts at YES=77.34% (Manifold market).
The Manifold market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' contracts at YES=77.34% (Manifold market).
A Manifold market shows 77.34% consensus that 'Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026' (source).
A Manifold market shows 77.34% consensus that 'Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026' (source).
Manifold's market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' is at 77.34% YES, indicating strong market...
Manifold's market 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' is at 77.34% YES, indicating strong market expectation that Apple will incorporate a dedicated AI accelerator in its iPhone SoC within the year.
TrendForce (via Reddit r/hardware) reports iPhone 18 Pro BOM cost expected to surge nearly 40%, forcing Apple to...
TrendForce (via Reddit r/hardware) reports iPhone 18 Pro BOM cost expected to surge nearly 40%, forcing Apple to sacrifice margins to sustain shipments.
The Manifold question 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' (source) is trading at 77.34% YES.
The Manifold question 'Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?' (source) is trading at 77.34% YES.