Multiple prediction markets on Manifold point to a growing consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in...

Multiple prediction markets on Manifold point to a growing consensus that Apple will release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026, with a 77.34% probability as of June 6, 2026 (source 1). Additionally, markets indicate a 50% chance Apple announces a major AI model partnership at WWDC 2026 (source 2), while mentions of OpenAI or ChatGPT at the WWDC keynote stand at 52% and 36% respectively (source 3, source 4). These speculative yet aligned signals suggest Apple is moving toward edge AI silicon, which would likely be manufactured by TSMC. The bullish sentiment is tempered by the low confidence inherent in prediction market data, but the convergence of multiple questions reinforces the trend. Any eventual chip announcement could reshape Apple's supply chain and bolster TSMC's advanced-node order book.