Two Manifold Markets prediction polls indicate high confidence in Apple's AI chip and partnership plans.

Two Manifold Markets prediction polls indicate high confidence in Apple's AI chip and partnership plans. The first poll (Will Apple release an AI chip for iPhones in 2026?) has a 77.34% consensus for 'Yes', suggesting market belief that Apple will develop its own AI silicon for iPhones by 2026. The second poll (Will Apple announce a major AI model partnership at WWDC 2026?) shows 99.46% consensus for 'Yes', implying an imminent strategic alliance with a leading AI model provider. While these are speculative, they reflect collected sentiment that Apple is accelerating in-house AI hardware and software integration. A third poll (Will any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of peak value before 2028?) shows only 24.53% consensus, reducing broader negative risk. The AI chip effort would likely leverage TSMC's advanced manufacturing, making TSM a key spillover beneficiary. No official confirmation exists, so confidence is low.