Prediction market data from Manifold Markets as of June 25, 2026 shows a 96.54% probability that Tesla will announce a...

Prediction market data from Manifold Markets as of June 25, 2026 shows a 96.54% probability that Tesla will announce a formal partnership with Intel for AI chip fabrication by June 30, 2026 (source). This near-certain event signals a significant win for Intel's foundry ambitions, likely boosting its AI chip manufacturing credibility. Other prediction markets indicate a 27% chance Intel manufactures NVIDIA chips by end-2026 (source1) and a 48.73% chance of a TSMC-Intel joint venture foundry (source2). The Tesla partnership, if announced, would give Intel a marquee customer for its advanced node, potentially reshaping AI chip supply dynamics and reducing reliance on TSMC. However, the source is a prediction market, not an official confirmation, so confidence is low.