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OpenAI faces a new competitive threat as its former CTO, Mira Murati, releases an open-weight AI model called Inkling...
OpenAI faces a new competitive threat as its former CTO, Mira Murati, releases an open-weight AI model called Inkling through her startup Thinking Machines Lab.
window 60devidence 54confidence score 100
confidence score
Strong evidence: 10 independent source classes support this read.
100
medium confidence10 independent source classesothermarketpasses publish gate
signal brief
OpenAI faces a new competitive threat as its former CTO, Mira Murati, releases an open-weight AI model called Inkling through her startup Thinking Machines Lab. The model, with 975B total parameters and 41B active, is designed for enterprise customization and directly challenges OpenAI's closed, one-size-fits-all approach. Sources report that Thinking Machines argues open models outperform proprietary ones (source 5). This development follows a period of growing enterprise preference for adaptable AI, with Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella recently warning that proprietary models force companies to 'pay twice' (source 5). The release of a frontier open-weight model by a known leader from OpenAI could accelerate enterprise migration away from OpenAI's platform, potentially reducing demand for its API and subscription services.
What the sources said
- "Former OpenAI CTO does what Altman won't: releases a frontier AI model that's actually open" (source 3: https://www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/07/16/former-openai-cto-does-what-altman-wont-releases-a-frontier-ai-model-thats-actually-open/5272177)
- "Inkling is designed to give calibrated answers... and lets users dial 'thinking effort' up or down... uses a third as many tokens as Nvidia's Nemotron 3 Ultra to hit the same coding performance" (source 5: https://techcrunch.com/2026/07/15/thinking-machines-amps-up-its-bet-against-one-size-fits-all-ai-with-its-first-open-model-inkling/)
source data used
“A big day for OpenAI.”
“Location: unknown”
- https://www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/07/16/former-openai-cto-does-what-altman-wont-releases-a-frontier-ai-model-thats-actually-open/5272177
“OpenAI is officially entering the hardware market with the launch of a $230 light-up keyboard designed to pair with its AI coding assistant, Codex. The Codex Micro, co-designed with specialty keyboard designer Work Louder, is being...”
“Thinking Machines Lab, the AI startup founded by former OpenAI CTO Mira Murati, released its first in-house AI model Wednesday morning, called Inkling. And unlike the flagship models from OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google, it’s open-weight, meaning...”
“OpenAI is finally releasing some hardware. No, it isn’t the mysterious AI-powered device the company is developing with former Apple designer Jony Ive, a project already tangled up in a messy lawsuit. Instead, it’s a product...”
“As rumors continue to swirl about OpenAI’s work on a personalized smart speaker and other hardware, the company is today rolling out its first branded device. The $230 Codex Micro is a specialized, RGB-lit mini-keyboard designed...”
“Rank 1 on Top Free. Developer: OpenAI OpCo, LLC. Genre: .”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: Meri dusri Gmail nahin khul rahi hai kholne lagi iska solution de do please 🥺”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: (သင်လက်ခံရရှိသော အစားအစာအကြောင်း သင်သိထားသင့်သည်များ)။ မခိုးဘဲ မလိမ်ဘဲ မသတ်ဘဲ လက်ခံ၍ရသော အသားကို စားသုံးသင့်ပါသည်။ အခြားရွာတစ်ရွာသို့ လည်ပတ်စဉ် အိမ်ရှင်က သင့်အတွက် တိရစ္ဆာန်ကို သတ်ရန် ခြေလက်တွေကြိုးချည်တာ မြင်တွေ့ကြားသိပါက သို့မဟုတ် သံသယဖြစ်ဖွယ် အခြေအနေများ ရှိပါက အမဲသားဟင်းလျာ”
“1★ review of ChatGPT: ၁၅ ဇူလိုင္ ၂၀၂၆။ သင္လက္ခံရရိွေသာ အစားအစာအေၾကာင္း သင္သိထားသင့္သည္မ်ား။ မခိုးဘဲ မလိမ္ဘဲ မသတ္ဘဲ လက္ခံ၍ရေသာ အသားကို စားသံုးသင့္ပါသည္။ အျခားရြာတစ္ရြာသို႔ လည္ပတ္စဥ္ အိမ္ရွင္က သင့္အတြက္ တိရစၧာန္ကို သတ္ရန္ ေျခလက္ေတြႀကိဳးခ်ည္တာ ျမင္ေတြ႕ၾကားသိပါက သို႔မဟုတ္ သံသယျဖစ္ဖြယ္ အေျခအေနမ်ား ရိွပါက”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: ok”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: nice”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: Fear stops many people from asking questions, learning new things, and reaching their full potential. ChatGPT helps change that. It creates a welcoming space where people can learn without fear of being...”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: scuba sccubaaaaaaaaaaaaa 67 67 67”
“1★ review of ChatGPT: doesnt wanna login on a custom rom because of my play integrity not passing even basic integrity WHY DO YOU HAVE TO FORCE PEOPLE TO HAVE PLAY INTEGRITY CHECKS FOR MEETS_STRONG_INTEGRITY (might...”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: usefull and helpful app”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: Updated status. If I could give 612🌠✨🌟's I absolutely would!!!💫🌟⭐ You Guys have really been stepping👟it up lately!!! 💫✨⭐ Let's go🌟💫🌃✨”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: beautiful chat gpt”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: very pretty useful 🙂😊”
“1★ review of ChatGPT: This is a good app, but I'm going to delete it soon. It said Messi is the GOAT and a legend, which is ridiculous. It clearly doesn't know anything Makes zero sense,...”
“1★ review of ChatGPT: You and Gemini are absolutely USELESS! GROK IS THE REAL WINNER! SHOCKING! AND you are trying your very best to get people to buy the most expensive tier 😂😂😂😂 laughing stock!”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: Can this app generate diffrent types of contant?”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: my chats are grey”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: " The response was concise,accurate and perfectly followed the formatting instruction I provided.It saved me a lot of time ". 🙋🙋🙋”
“3★ review of ChatGPT: yes I can't believe”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: Edit: I'm so happy that the true baby pink accent was reinstated. For that reason, I'm putting 5 stars. Please never change the hue again!😭”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: very Nice”
“1★ review of ChatGPT: I don't know what's happened over the past year, but this app is not what is was 3 years ago. It has become a pain in the a to operate. The people...”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: Super”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: this app is best for 1 class to +2 class and the app is just like a good frend”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: good”
“4★ review of ChatGPT: this app is very helpful ☺️”
“4★ review of ChatGPT: It's really helpful for me”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: good app”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: wonderful aap 👍 it is a best aap for everything and everyone. it knows what who wants. its like a jinny who fulfill every wish every time 💕.”
“5★ review of ChatGPT: wow”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI publicly share software it developed to make its AI run on chips from different providers, in 2026?': YES=24.71%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI design and manufacture a custom AI chip by 2030?': YES=93.15%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI employ more people on 8/1/26 than it does on 8/1/24?': YES=98.79%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI ship a hardware device in 2026?': YES=64.71%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?': YES=96.92%”
“Manifold consensus on 'OpenAI IPO before 2027?': YES=12.68%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will I think OpenAI's first hardware product is a flop?': YES=60.30%”
“Manifold consensus on 'OpenAI Agent continue refusing to do captchas by mid-2026?': YES=90.26%”
“Manifold consensus on 'OpenAI IPO before 2028?': YES=85.62%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI be valued more than a trillion dollar at anytime before 2034?': YES=92.23%”
“Manifold consensus on 'OPQA (OpenAI-proof QA) hits 20% before 2027': YES=26.24%”
“Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?': YES=17.59%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI announce a new model that EpochAI estimates is at least as large as GPT-4.5, before August 2026?': YES=20.24%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI go public in 2026?': YES=14.46%”
“Manifold consensus on 'Will OpenAI release a model marketed as GPT-6 by August 31, 2026?': YES=27.00%”
“Manifold consensus on 'OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?': YES=10.83%”
“The official Python library for the openai API”
Decision support, not stock advice. This signal is research with cited evidence — not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.