signal type · other
custom chip intention
Every published custom chip intention signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh custom chip intention calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
3
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a custom chip intention signal?
A custom chip intention signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged custom_chip_intention by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published custom chip intention signal
2026-07-26 · OPENAI · neutral · low
A prediction market on Manifold Markets (source 2) currently gives a 93.15% probability to the resolution 'Will OpenAI...
2026-06-16 · OPENAI · up · low
Based on Manifold Markets prediction data, the consensus probability that OpenAI will design and manufacture a custom...
2026-05-31 · OPENAI · up · low
Prediction market Manifold Markets shows high probability for two key OpenAI milestones.