signal type · other
market cap milestone
Every published market cap milestone signal with its public hit-rate inline. Belongs to the other family, which means fresh market cap milestone calls borrow confidence from sibling types in the family until they earn their own sample.
all-time signals
3
published only
direct hit-rate
—
no scored predictions yet
family hit-rate
40%
15 across other
family
other
see signal-families.ts for mapping
definition
What is a market cap milestone signal?
A market cap milestone signal is any High-Signal-published call tagged market_cap_milestone by the ingest pipeline. The exact extraction rules live in python/ingest and the family rollup in /methodology. Every published instance carries ≥ 2 independent sources per the cite-or-kill rule.
every published market cap milestone signal
2026-07-23 · TSM · up · high
Multiple Manifold Markets prediction markets show extremely high consensus that TSMC's market capitalization exceeded...
2026-07-08 · TSM · up · low
Manifold Markets prediction market data from July 8, 2026 shows a 99% consensus that TSMC's market cap will reach or...
2026-05-28 · MU · up · high
Micron Technology (MU) crossed the $1 trillion market capitalization mark on May 26, 2026, with a 19% single-day surge,...