markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-03Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=33.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=8.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket