markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=94.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-04Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Knicks vs. Spurs
Polymarket top market 'Knicks vs. Spurs': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=46.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-04Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?': YES=71.40%
market:polymarket