markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?': YES=96.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=39.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=69.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=98.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins
Polymarket top market 'Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan
Polymarket top market 'T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=42.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=91.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-05Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-05Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket