markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-05?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=35.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-05Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-05Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=15.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=12.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=20.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket