markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5': YES=41.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5': YES=80.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.10%
MSFTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=92.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 11?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winner': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?': YES=18.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Spread: Norway (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-1.5)': YES=9.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 11?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Switzerland?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=15.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Spread: Norway (-4.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Norway (-4.5)': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will CJ Abrams hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
OPENAImarket:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=21.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-11Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket