markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=23.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Spread: France (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-3.5)': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?': YES=31.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'France leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-2.5)': YES=19.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Spread: France (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=1.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Croatia Open: Titouan Droguet vs Alexander Blockx': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5': YES=0.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Spain leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Spain leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-14France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?': YES=46.80%
market:polymarket