markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Harry Kane: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Harry Kane: 2+ goals': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 2+ goals': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Spread: England (-3.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-3.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Argentina leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Argentina leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Croatia Open: Dino Prizmic vs Alex Molcan': YES=75.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15England leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'England leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguet': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=37.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5': YES=0.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 1+ goals': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-15Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket