markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watson': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=17.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kuopion Palloseura win on 2026-07-25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=24.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?
Polymarket top market 'Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-25Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Southern Brave': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=75.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarket