markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-27New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=45.70%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.20%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Francesco Passaro
Polymarket top market 'Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Francesco Passaro': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=51.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=44.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Sofya Lansere': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=24.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-27Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 27?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket