markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group Stage': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagal
Polymarket top market 'Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Sumit Nagal': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=98.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=6.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=7.70%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bonn: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Federico Agustin Gomez': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=92.10%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket