markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=72.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Frederico Ferreira Silva': YES=81.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=9.70%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=90.50%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-31LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-31LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket