markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Iran leadership change by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by August 31?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-01Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?
Polymarket top market 'Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket