markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=1.03%

Polymarket top market 'Will Shamrock Rovers win on 2026-07-31?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?': YES=96.60%

Polymarket top market 'Birmingham City vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 27-August 2?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.60%

Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=20.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elina Svitolina': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?': YES=8.60%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Metro Bank One Day Cup: Gloucestershire vs Surrey': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 3.5': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=94.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Vålerenga Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=44.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 1?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.80%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=1.00%