markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Falcons vs 1win - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?': YES=97.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket