markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=65.73%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=46.83%

Manifold consensus on 'Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?': YES=67.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=1.01%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.81%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 9?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)': YES=94.00%

Polymarket top market 'EC Bahia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 0.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-08-09?': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-08-09?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparks': YES=98.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?': YES=58.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?': YES=82.60%

Polymarket top market 'Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?': YES=12.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-09?': YES=7.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9?': YES=3.50%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-09?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Santos FC vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?': YES=66.00%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10?': YES=32.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-09?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-09?': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?': YES=5.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-09?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=67.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10?': YES=99.70%

Polymarket top market 'CR Flamengo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=81.00%