markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 13?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'National Bank Open: Ben Shelton vs Brandon Nakashima': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-13Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner
Polymarket top market 'Hamburg: Andrej Nedic vs Carlos Taberner': YES=74.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A': YES=36.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket