markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-14Lions vs. Bengals
Polymarket top market 'Lions vs. Bengals': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 3.5': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-13?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 14?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 14?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 14?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Chargers vs. Texans
Polymarket top market 'Chargers vs. Texans': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=98.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-13?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-13?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Mees Rottgering': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Spread: GB (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: GB (-2.5)': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-13?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?': YES=7.80%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Packers vs. Steelers
Polymarket top market 'Packers vs. Steelers': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers': YES=44.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces
Polymarket top market 'Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?': YES=6.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Cardinals vs. Raiders
Polymarket top market 'Cardinals vs. Raiders': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-14Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-13?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?': YES=51.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Red Feet vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-13?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-14Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-13?
Polymarket top market 'Will Austin FC win on 2026-08-13?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Katie Boulter vs Katie Volynets': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Brownsburg: Felix Gill vs Jack Pinnington Jones': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket