markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-08-19NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Trump out as President by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by August 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
Polymarket top market 'Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 3 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?': YES=10.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?': YES=67.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'FC Barcelona vs. AL Ahly SC (EGY): O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?': YES=30.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=11.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-19Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=13.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-19Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket