markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-08-20Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=73.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?': YES=25.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 20?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?': YES=11.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?': YES=43.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-20Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?': YES=20.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-20Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket