markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-22?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 169.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Xi Jinping out before 2027?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?': YES=66.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 3.5': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich end in a draw?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=21.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-22?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?': YES=97.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)': YES=63.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?': YES=22.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-08-22?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Monterrey Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Jessica Hinojosa': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Bills vs. Browns
Polymarket top market 'Bills vs. Browns': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-22?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-22?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-08-22?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-08-22Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?
Polymarket top market 'Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-08-22?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-08-22Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket