markets

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=85.99%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=23.19%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=41.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=6.49%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=15.34%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=6.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=34.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=39.80%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock at $100 or below by 2028': YES=16.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=69.87%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?': YES=58.39%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia report gross margins lower than 60% in any year by 2028?': YES=16.38%

Manifold consensus on '📈 Will Nvidia report Q2 FY2027 revenue above $92 billion?': YES=95.66%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?': YES=66.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia: Anna Frey vs Ashlyn Krueger': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-23?': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%

Polymarket top market 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-21?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=32.00%

Polymarket top market 'AC Horsens vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?': YES=5.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula': YES=59.00%

Polymarket top market 'Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5': YES=60.00%