Amazon.com Inc.
spillover graph 14
market consensus 10prediction-market quotes (latest)
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
- 39%Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?manifold$245
recent signals
On August 12, 2026, Twitch (owned by Amazon) introduced a new default-on setting that allows streamers to opt out of...
On August 12, 2026, Twitch (owned by Amazon) introduced a new default-on setting that allows streamers to opt out of having their channel content used to train Amazon's generative AI models.
Amazon is aggressively expanding its AI data center infrastructure with a dedicated 7.65 GW gas-fired power plant for a...
Amazon is aggressively expanding its AI data center infrastructure with a dedicated 7.65 GW gas-fired power plant for a Texas AI campus, per Digitimes.
Amazon is accelerating its AI infrastructure buildout with a first-of-its-kind off-grid power commitment.
Amazon is accelerating its AI infrastructure buildout with a first-of-its-kind off-grid power commitment.
Amazon is expanding its AI infrastructure with a massive behind-the-meter power plant in Pecos County, Texas, directly...
Amazon is expanding its AI infrastructure with a massive behind-the-meter power plant in Pecos County, Texas, directly supporting a new AI data center.
Amazon is making a massive AI infrastructure bet: on August 8, 2026, The New York Times reported that Amazon is...
Amazon is making a massive AI infrastructure bet: on August 8, 2026, The New York Times reported that Amazon is investing in a 7.65 GW natural-gas power plant in Pecos County, Texas, to power an off-grid AI data center (NYT).
Agentic AI is forcing AWS to ration internal EC2 CPU capacity as data center CPU demand approaches GPU-era levels.
Agentic AI is forcing AWS to ration internal EC2 CPU capacity as data center CPU demand approaches GPU-era levels.
DataCenterDynamics reports that AWS is exploring a potential data center development at a 4.5GW natural gas plant in...
DataCenterDynamics reports that AWS is exploring a potential data center development at a 4.5GW natural gas plant in Pennsylvania.
AWS is moving aggressively to make Bedrock AgentCore a default platform for production AI agents.
AWS is moving aggressively to make Bedrock AgentCore a default platform for production AI agents.
Amazon Web Services announced general availability of Web Search on Amazon Bedrock for foundation model grounding.
Amazon Web Services announced general availability of Web Search on Amazon Bedrock for foundation model grounding.
Amazon's internal silicon business has crossed a $25 billion annual run rate, and CEO Andy Jassy indicated a 'real...
Amazon's internal silicon business has crossed a $25 billion annual run rate, and CEO Andy Jassy indicated a 'real chance' of selling Trainium chips outside AWS, according to a DigiTimes report dated 2026-08-01 (source).
Manifold's prediction market currently assigns 39.46% probability to any AWS data center being nationalized by a...
Manifold's prediction market currently assigns 39.46% probability to any AWS data center being nationalized by a country by 2030.
Amazon's Q2 2026 earnings, reported July 31, show accelerating AI-cloud growth and a major upward revision in AI...
Amazon's Q2 2026 earnings, reported July 31, show accelerating AI-cloud growth and a major upward revision in AI infrastructure spending.
Amazon urged Virginia regulators during July 2026 hearings to allow hyperscale data center operators to voluntarily...
Amazon urged Virginia regulators during July 2026 hearings to allow hyperscale data center operators to voluntarily fund transmission infrastructure for their campuses, a move that could accelerate AI data center buildouts by alleviating grid constraints.
Amazon Web Services (AWS) signed a $410 million compute deal with Recursive Superintelligence, an AI startup focused on...
Amazon Web Services (AWS) signed a $410 million compute deal with Recursive Superintelligence, an AI startup focused on self-improving systems.
A Spyglass article reports that US tech giants have shifted to publicly backing open AI models, with Amazon and...
A Spyglass article reports that US tech giants have shifted to publicly backing open AI models, with Amazon and Anthropic remaining notable holdouts alongside the US government.
Jefferies strategist Chris Wood warned that hyperscaler capital expenditure is approaching unsustainable levels,...
Jefferies strategist Chris Wood warned that hyperscaler capital expenditure is approaching unsustainable levels, raising the risk of 'massive capital destruction' for companies like Amazon.
Amazon confirmed layoffs in its AGI unit, which includes silicon development and quantum computing.
Amazon confirmed layoffs in its AGI unit, which includes silicon development and quantum computing.
On July 21, 2026, Iranian cruise missiles struck and destroyed an Amazon Web Services (AWS) data center in Bahrain,...
On July 21, 2026, Iranian cruise missiles struck and destroyed an Amazon Web Services (AWS) data center in Bahrain, according to state media and confirmed by tech outlets.
A Nikkei Asia study estimates that off-balance sheet debt at Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle grew...
A Nikkei Asia study estimates that off-balance sheet debt at Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle grew approximately 8x since 2022 to $1.65 trillion, eclipsing $1.35 trillion in balance sheet debt.
Two developer posts on dev.to (July 2026) detail porting Google's Gemma-4 model family to AWS Inferentia2 accelerators....
Two developer posts on dev.to (July 2026) detail porting Google's Gemma-4 model family to AWS Inferentia2 accelerators.