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ASML Holding NV (ASML) — signals and market context — High Signal
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ASML
NL
semicap
public
ASML Holding NV
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6
INTC
SAMSUNG
TSM
SK_HYNIX
MU
SMIC
ASML
supplier
6
relationship list
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INTC
supplier
1.00
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SAMSUNG
supplier
1.00
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TSM
supplier
1.00
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SK_HYNIX
supplier
0.90
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MU
supplier
0.80
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SMIC
supplier
0.30
market consensus
10
prediction-market quotes (latest)
95%
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2026?
manifold
$15.2K
15%
Does China have an ASML EUV machine? (as of June 19, 2026)
manifold
$3.3K
84%
Will ASML's revenue increase every year for the next 5 years?
manifold
$1.1K
43%
Will the US cut ASML off Cymer before 2030?
manifold
$15
69%
Will ASML remain the world’s only producer of EUV machines until the end of 2027?
manifold
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$761
11%
Will Peter Wennink (CEO of ASML) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
manifold
$223
56%
Will China invent a domestic version of ASML’s EUV lithographic machine tool by January 1, 2030?
manifold
$250
50%
Will the US force ASML to halt exports to China before 2029?
manifold
$116
96%
Will ASML be a monopoly in EUV lithography systems by the end of 2024?
manifold
$1.5K
resolved YES
6%
Will there be evidence of ASML selling 1 or more EUV machines to China or a Chinese company in 2023?
manifold
$596
resolved NO