NVIDIA Corporation
spillover graph 31
relationship list
- →CRWVcustomer1.00
- →TSMcustomer1.00
- ←TSMsupplier1.00
- ←SK_HYNIXsupplier1.00
- →METAcustomer0.90
- →MSFTcustomer0.90
- →NBIScustomer0.90
- →SMCIpartner0.90
- ←AMDcompetitor0.90
- ←SMCIcustomer0.90
- ←DELLcustomer0.90
- ←CRWVpartner0.90
- ←METAcustomer0.90
- →DELLpartner0.80
- →ORCLcustomer0.80
- ←NBISpartner0.80
- ←ORCLcustomer0.80
- →AMZNcustomer0.70
- →ORCLpartner0.70
- →VRTpartner0.70
- ←HPEcustomer0.70
- ←VRTpartner0.70
- →GOOGLcustomer0.60
- →HPEpartner0.60
- ←MUsupplier0.60
- ←ARMpartner0.60
- ←ALABpartner0.60
- ←GOOGLcustomer0.60
- →ANETpartner0.50
- ←SAMSUNGsupplier0.50
- ←INTCcompetitor0.40
market consensus 10prediction-market quotes (latest)
- 39%Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?manifold$37
- 58%Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?manifold$101
- 55%Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)manifold$16resolved YES
- 3%Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?manifold$1.4Kresolved NO
- 7%Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?manifold$7.3Kresolved NO
- 7%[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?manifold$16.5K
- 15%Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?manifold$4.2K
- 97%Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?manifold$14.7Kresolved YES
- 10%Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?manifold$1.4K
- 9%Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?manifold$5.3K
recent signals
Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?
Fallback draft generated from 5 source(s) because normal LLM generation did not return a publishable candidate.
Prediction-market consensus captured on 2026-08-13 sketches a durable China overhang for Nvidia (NVDA).
Prediction-market consensus captured on 2026-08-13 sketches a durable China overhang for Nvidia (NVDA).
Prediction-market consensus on Manifold as of 2026-08-12 points to an intensifying China overhang for Nvidia.
Prediction-market consensus on Manifold as of 2026-08-12 points to an intensifying China overhang for Nvidia.
Prediction-market consensus on Manifold dated 2026-08-12 puts only 15.34% odds on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top...
Prediction-market consensus on Manifold dated 2026-08-12 puts only 15.34% odds on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?' and 19.00% odds on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?' (source 1, source 12).
As of 2026-08-12, Manifold prediction markets present a coherent bearish read on Nvidia's (NVDA) competitive position...
As of 2026-08-12, Manifold prediction markets present a coherent bearish read on Nvidia's (NVDA) competitive position and China sales outlook.
Nvidia announced on Aug 11, 2026 that it signed memorandums of understanding with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone,...
Nvidia announced on Aug 11, 2026 that it signed memorandums of understanding with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to establish independent compute financing platforms mobilizing over $500 billion in third-party capital for AI infrastructure.
As of 2026-08-12, Manifold prediction markets collectively signal that Nvidia's top GPUs will remain barred from China...
As of 2026-08-12, Manifold prediction markets collectively signal that Nvidia's top GPUs will remain barred from China well into 2027, while China's domestic AI chip sector is expected to make significant competitive progress.
As of 2026-08-11, several Manifold prediction markets for NVDA cluster around negative structural themes: accelerating...
As of 2026-08-11, several Manifold prediction markets for NVDA cluster around negative structural themes: accelerating Chinese domestic AI-chip competition, persistent U.S. export restrictions, and possible timeline risk for the next-gen 'Vera Rubin' platform.
Nvidia announced a landmark initiative to mobilize more than $500 billion in third-party capital for AI infrastructure,...
Nvidia announced a landmark initiative to mobilize more than $500 billion in third-party capital for AI infrastructure, partnering with Apollo Global Management, Blackstone, BlackRock, Brookfield Asset Management, Goldman Sachs, and KKR.
Prediction-market consensus on Manifold as of 2026-08-11 signals durable export restrictions and rising competitive...
Prediction-market consensus on Manifold as of 2026-08-11 signals durable export restrictions and rising competitive pressure for Nvidia (NVDA), outweighing bullish stock-price bets.
Two Digitimes reports dated 2026-08-10 indicate Nvidia is in talks to invest up to $3B in Lancium, a Texas power...
Two Digitimes reports dated 2026-08-10 indicate Nvidia is in talks to invest up to $3B in Lancium, a Texas power infrastructure developer building the Stargate data center campus.
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-10 cluster around a bearish competitive outlook for NVDA.
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-10 cluster around a bearish competitive outlook for NVDA.
Nvidia has agreed to invest $2 billion into Lancium, the power infrastructure developer behind the OpenAI/Oracle...
Nvidia has agreed to invest $2 billion into Lancium, the power infrastructure developer behind the OpenAI/Oracle 'Stargate' AI campus in Texas, with an additional $1 billion available if certain performance thresholds are met, according to The Information via Techmeme.
Nvidia has agreed to invest $2 billion in Lancium, the Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer behind the...
Nvidia has agreed to invest $2 billion in Lancium, the Blackstone-backed power infrastructure developer behind the Stargate AI campus in Texas, with an additional $1 billion contingent on milestones, according to The Information.
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-07 reveal elevated expectations of competitive pressure on Nvidia.
Manifold prediction markets as of 2026-08-07 reveal elevated expectations of competitive pressure on Nvidia.
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31?
Fallback draft generated from 5 source(s) because normal LLM generation did not return a publishable candidate.
On 2026-08-07, Reuters reported that Sydney-based AI data center company Firmus raised $2B in equity from Coatue,...
On 2026-08-07, Reuters reported that Sydney-based AI data center company Firmus raised $2B in equity from Coatue, Nvidia, and others at a $10.5B post-money valuation, up from $5.5B in April.
On August 5, 2026, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk announced that SpaceX will build its AI infrastructure exclusively on Nvidia,...
On August 5, 2026, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk announced that SpaceX will build its AI infrastructure exclusively on Nvidia, calling the Vera Rubin architecture "the best AI computer." This is a major design win for Nvidia's next-generation Rubin platform, extending its reach beyond...
Cross-referencing prediction-market snapshots logged 2026-08-06 for NVDA surfaces one outlier worth flagging against...
Cross-referencing prediction-market snapshots logged 2026-08-06 for NVDA surfaces one outlier worth flagging against broadly bullish sentiment: only 7.04% odds that NVIDIA announced "Vera Rubin" GPUs began shipping by end of Q2 2026 (Manifold).
On Aug 4-5, 2026, NVIDIA made a series of ecosystem announcements strengthening its position in AI infrastructure.
On Aug 4-5, 2026, NVIDIA made a series of ecosystem announcements strengthening its position in AI infrastructure.